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| Stock Market Forecast 3-26-12 |
I commence with the gratitude to The All-Knower
I receive quite a few emails or messages, via different media, about the current situation in the financial markets and ask me to evaluate the markets and my opinion in said subject.
First of all let me clear, that as you may know that no one can claim to be 100% correct. If someone does so, then one is not being truthful (to say the least, in a lenient manner). Picking tops and bottom is a serious business and very few and handful of people are good at it. My success rate in this arena, (as shown in my blog’s posts) is also not at 100% but at around 88%. It fluctuates between 80% to 94%, depending upon the rolling periods, you may choose.
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| Stock Market Forecast 03-26-12 IWM |
Secondly, one can forecast and estimate to the best of one’s abilities or talents and results are to be waited upon and to be manifested by the price action of the markets.
Now let’s review the markets: As stock markets disregard any bad newsand apparently persist to move up on any good news, it becomes evident that there isstronger time cycle, which is pulling the markets higher. As a Market Forecaster, it is always challenging task to estimate the best time window (which time cycle) where the markets are more likely to face stronger hurdle in their trends, and reverse their course. Goal of the “forecastig a turn in the markets,” is to protect the profits and reverse the trade or investment accordingly and pursuant to one’s investment goals.
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| Stock Market Forecast 3-26-12 S&P-500 Forecast |
Nonetheless, stock market is in its final phases of the bull run that started 03/09/2009. Let’s review, how and why I foresee a top is within hand’s reach.
Markets act and react to strong time cycles to create a long term swing low or swing high. Therefore, to look for intermediate or long term swing low or high, we look towards the long time cycles.
Markets started showing the sign of life (by the virtue of divergence in falling price and proprietary indicators) from Friday afternoon on 03/23. As long as SPX stays above the $1400-$1401 level, for Market shall continue to rise higher. As long As IWM stays above the $83.40-$83.80 level, Stock Markets shall continue to rise. See attached charts of SPX and IWM. My profit targets for S&P-500, are 1,444 and then 1,565-1,570 on or before May first week
Based Upon Markets long term cycles, Stock Markets want to keep going higher until October 31, 2012 or November 1st Week. However, Market shall have some corrections (some very serious ones), on the way up. Time Cycle predictors, tell me that 03/31, 04/13, 04/25 or 04/28 within next 31 days would be such dates of correction or temporary trend reversals. I will be watching last week of April (May first few days) for a serious correction, as current stock markets bull run shall completes it 162th week anniversary on said time window.
http://trade-in-harmony.blogspot.com/
Thanks
Mr Syed
I was recently referred to your blog by learning about in a trading group
It is probably the best thing, I had done in this group. :0
Please keep up the good work.
I have been in this jungle for last 18 years. and you may be the probably one of the top ten easily!!!
thank you
i am really impressed by your forecasts
it is masterpiece, without any doubt.
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Thanks
Regards
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